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Economic Analysis

Independent analysis, commentary and explanations on the issues shaping the Australian economy.

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RBA Interest Rate Outlook: What to Expect for the Rest of 2025
Inflation 14 May 2026

RBA Interest Rate Outlook: What to Expect for the Rest of 2025

The Reserve Bank of Australia faces mounting pressure as inflation proves stickier than expected. We break down the key indicators and what they mean for your mortgage.

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What Is Australia's Recession Risk in 2025? A Realistic Assessment
Economic Policy

What Is Australia's Recession Risk in 2025? A Realistic Assessment

Australia's Housing Affordability Crisis: A Plain-English Explainer
Housing

Australia's Housing Affordability Crisis: A Plain-English Explainer

RBA Cuts the Cash Rate: What It Means for Your Mortgage Right Now
Inflation 10 May 2026

RBA Cuts the Cash Rate: What It Means for Your Mortgage Right Now

The Reserve Bank has delivered the rate cut millions of Australians were waiting for. We break down the exact dollar imp…

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Why Your Grocery Bill Keeps Going Up — And When It Might Stop Premium
Cost of Living 07 May 2026

Why Your Grocery Bill Keeps Going Up — And When It Might Stop

Food inflation has hit Australian households hard. We trace the supply chain pressures driving prices and examine when r…

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Australia's Rental Crisis: Why Rents Are Still Rising and When Relief Might Come
Housing 07 May 2026

Australia's Rental Crisis: Why Rents Are Still Rising and When Relief Might Come

Rental vacancy rates are at record lows and rents have surged 20–30% in many cities since 2020. We explain the structura…

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Super at 12%: What the Rise in the Guarantee Means for Workers, Employers, and Retirement
Wages 06 May 2026

Super at 12%: What the Rise in the Guarantee Means for Workers, Employers, and Retirement

Australia's superannuation guarantee reached 12% in July 2025. We examine the retirement savings impact, the short-term …

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Why Australian Electricity Prices Are Among the World's Highest — and What Is Being Done
Energy 03 May 2026

Why Australian Electricity Prices Are Among the World's Highest — and What Is Being Done

Australians pay some of the highest electricity prices in the developed world. The reasons are structural, political, an…

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Wages Growth vs Inflation: Are Australian Workers Finally Getting Ahead?
Wages 01 May 2026

Wages Growth vs Inflation: Are Australian Workers Finally Getting Ahead?

For the first time in three years, wage growth is running above inflation across most of the workforce. We look at who i…

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Australia–China Trade: How the Relationship Has Evolved and What It Means for Growth
Economic Policy 29 Apr 2026

Australia–China Trade: How the Relationship Has Evolved and What It Means for Growth

China remains Australia's largest trading partner by a significant margin. The trade relationship went through a severe …

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The RBA's 2–3% Inflation Target: Why It Exists and Why It Matters to You
Inflation 26 Apr 2026

The RBA's 2–3% Inflation Target: Why It Exists and Why It Matters to You

The Reserve Bank of Australia's inflation target is one of the most consequential numbers in Australian economic policy.…

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Federal Budget 2025–26: Winners, Losers, and What It Really Means for the Economy Premium
Economic Policy 23 Apr 2026

Federal Budget 2025–26: Winners, Losers, and What It Really Means for the Economy

The federal budget delivered a second consecutive surplus, but the headline number masks significant fiscal pressures bu…

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